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2月10日(ri)，國(guo)信證券(quan)發布《新能源上網(wang)電(dian)價(jia)市(shi)場化改革推(tui)進，新能源發電(dian)項目收益率有(you)望維持(chi)合(he)理水平》的研究(jiu)報(bao)告，報(bao)告指出，新能源全面(mian)入市(shi)電(dian)價(jia)機制出臺(tai)，穩(wen)定(ding)電(dian)價(jia)預期。

報告具體內容如下：

2月9日(ri)，國家發展改革(ge)委、國家能(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)局聯合發布(bu)《關于(yu)深化新能(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)上(shang)網(wang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)化改革(ge)促進新能(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)高質量(liang)(liang)(liang)發展的通(tong)知(zhi)》，并(bing)要求(qiu)各地(di)要在2025年底前出臺并(bing)實施具體方案。全面推進新能(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)入(ru)(ru)市(shi)(shi)(shi)交(jiao)(jiao)易(yi)(yi)(yi)，全電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)量(liang)(liang)(liang)無差(cha)別市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)定(ding)(ding)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)。《通(tong)知(zhi)》明(ming)確(que)(que)提出，新能(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)項目（風(feng)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)、太陽能(neng)(neng)發電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)）上(shang)網(wang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)量(liang)(liang)(liang)原則上(shang)全部(bu)進入(ru)(ru)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)，上(shang)網(wang)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)通(tong)過市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)交(jiao)(jiao)易(yi)(yi)(yi)形成(cheng)。新能(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)項目可報(bao)量(liang)(liang)(liang)報(bao)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)參與交(jiao)(jiao)易(yi)(yi)(yi)，也可接受(shou)市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)形成(cheng)的價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)。在現貨(huo)市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)中，現貨(huo)市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)放寬限(xian)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)，允許電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)在工商業尖峰電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)與新能(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)成(cheng)本收益間浮動，由省(sheng)級價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)主(zhu)管部(bu)門(men)(men)確(que)(que)定(ding)(ding)。在中長期市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)中，縮(suo)短交(jiao)(jiao)易(yi)(yi)(yi)周(zhou)期至“周(zhou)、多日(ri)、逐日(ri)”；綠電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)交(jiao)(jiao)易(yi)(yi)(yi)明(ming)確(que)(que)分立(li)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)能(neng)(neng)量(liang)(liang)(liang)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)與綠證價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)。此外，鼓勵新能(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)企業與用(yong)(yong)戶簽訂多年購電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)協(xie)議。建(jian)立(li)差(cha)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)結(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)算機(ji)制(zhi)、“多退少補”穩定(ding)(ding)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)，保障企業預期收益。市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)外建(jian)立(li)差(cha)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)結(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)算機(ji)制(zhi)，納(na)(na)(na)入(ru)(ru)機(ji)制(zhi)的新能(neng)(neng)源(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)水平(ping)（機(ji)制(zhi)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)）、電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)量(liang)(liang)(liang)規模、執行期限(xian)等由各省(sheng)相關部(bu)門(men)(men)明(ming)確(que)(que)。對納(na)(na)(na)入(ru)(ru)機(ji)制(zhi)的電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)量(liang)(liang)(liang)，市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)交(jiao)(jiao)易(yi)(yi)(yi)均(jun)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)低(di)于(yu)或高于(yu)機(ji)制(zhi)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)的部(bu)分，由電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網(wang)企業按規定(ding)(ding)開展差(cha)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)結(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)算，結(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)算費(fei)用(yong)(yong)納(na)(na)(na)入(ru)(ru)當地(di)系統運行費(fei)用(yong)(yong)。對納(na)(na)(na)入(ru)(ru)機(ji)制(zhi)的電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)量(liang)(liang)(liang)，市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)交(jiao)(jiao)易(yi)(yi)(yi)均(jun)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)與機(ji)制(zhi)電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)差(cha)額由電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)網(wang)差(cha)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)結(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)算，結(jie)(jie)(jie)(jie)算費(fei)用(yong)(yong)納(na)(na)(na)入(ru)(ru)系統運行費(fei)用(yong)(yong)。其中，市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)交(jiao)(jiao)易(yi)(yi)(yi)均(jun)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)根據電(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)(dian)力現貨(huo)市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)運行情況分別確(que)(que)定(ding)(ding)：現貨(huo)市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)連續(xu)運行地(di)區按照月度同類(lei)項目加權平(ping)均(jun)價(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)(jia)格(ge)確(que)(que)定(ding)(ding)；現貨(huo)市(shi)(shi)(shi)場(chang)(chang)(chang)未(wei)連續(xu)運行的確(que)(que)按照中長期同類(lei)項目加權平(ping)均(jun)確(que)(que)定(ding)(ding)。

2025年6月(yue)1日為節點新老項目劃(hua)斷，分(fen)類確定機(ji)制電(dian)量(liang)&電(dian)價。

新(xin)能源可持續發(fa)展(zhan)價(jia)格結算(suan)機制(zhi)的電量規模、機制(zhi)電價(jia)和執行期限。

2025年(nian)6月1日以前投產的新能源(yuan)存(cun)量項(xiang)目：（1）電(dian)量規(gui)模(mo)，由各地妥善(shan)銜接現(xian)(xian)行(xing)具有保(bao)障性質的相關電(dian)量規(gui)模(mo)政(zheng)策。新能源(yuan)項(xiang)目在規(gui)模(mo)范圍內每年(nian)自(zi)主確(que)定(ding)執行(xing)機(ji)制的電(dian)量比例、但不得高于(yu)上一年(nian)。鼓(gu)勵新能源(yuan)項(xiang)目通過設備更新改造升級等(deng)方式提升競爭(zheng)(zheng)力，主動參與市(shi)場競爭(zheng)(zheng)。（2）機(ji)制電(dian)價(jia)，按(an)現(xian)(xian)行(xing)價(jia)格政(zheng)策執行(xing)，不高于(yu)當地煤電(dian)基準價(jia)。（3）執行(xing)期(qi)限，按(an)照現(xian)(xian)行(xing)相關政(zheng)策保(bao)障期(qi)限確(que)定(ding)。光熱發電(dian)項(xiang)目、已開(kai)展(zhan)競爭(zheng)(zheng)性配置(zhi)的海上風電(dian)項(xiang)目，按(an)照各地現(xian)(xian)行(xing)政(zheng)策執行(xing)。

2025年(nian)(nian)(nian)6月1日起(qi)投(tou)(tou)(tou)產的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)新(xin)(xin)能源(yuan)增量(liang)(liang)項(xiang)(xiang)目(mu)(mu)：（1）每年(nian)(nian)(nian)新(xin)(xin)增納(na)入(ru)(ru)(ru)機(ji)(ji)(ji)制的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)電(dian)(dian)(dian)量(liang)(liang)規(gui)模(mo)，由(you)各地(di)根(gen)據國(guo)家下(xia)達的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)年(nian)(nian)(nian)度非水電(dian)(dian)(dian)可再生能源(yuan)電(dian)(dian)(dian)力消納(na)責任權重完成情況，以及用戶承(cheng)受能力等因(yin)素確(que)定(ding)。超出(chu)消納(na)責任權重的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)，次年(nian)(nian)(nian)納(na)入(ru)(ru)(ru)機(ji)(ji)(ji)制的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)電(dian)(dian)(dian)量(liang)(liang)規(gui)模(mo)可適(shi)當減少；未(wei)完成的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)，次年(nian)(nian)(nian)納(na)入(ru)(ru)(ru)機(ji)(ji)(ji)制的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)電(dian)(dian)(dian)量(liang)(liang)規(gui)模(mo)可適(shi)當增加。通知實(shi)施后(hou)第一年(nian)(nian)(nian)新(xin)(xin)增納(na)入(ru)(ru)(ru)機(ji)(ji)(ji)制的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)電(dian)(dian)(dian)量(liang)(liang)占當地(di)增量(liang)(liang)項(xiang)(xiang)目(mu)(mu)新(xin)(xin)能源(yuan)上(shang)網電(dian)(dian)(dian)量(liang)(liang)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)比例，要(yao)與(yu)現有新(xin)(xin)能源(yuan)價(jia)格非市(shi)場(chang)(chang)化比例適(shi)當銜接、避免過度波動。單個項(xiang)(xiang)目(mu)(mu)申請納(na)入(ru)(ru)(ru)機(ji)(ji)(ji)制的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)電(dian)(dian)(dian)量(liang)(liang)，可適(shi)當低于(yu)(yu)其全部發(fa)電(dian)(dian)(dian)量(liang)(liang)。（2）機(ji)(ji)(ji)制電(dian)(dian)(dian)價(jia)，由(you)各地(di)每年(nian)(nian)(nian)組織已投(tou)(tou)(tou)產和(he)未(wei)來(lai)12個月內投(tou)(tou)(tou)產、且未(wei)納(na)入(ru)(ru)(ru)過機(ji)(ji)(ji)制執(zhi)行(xing)范(fan)圍的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)項(xiang)(xiang)目(mu)(mu)自愿參與(yu)競(jing)價(jia)形成，初期對(dui)成本差異大(da)的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)可按技術(shu)類(lei)型分類(lei)組織。競(jing)價(jia)時(shi)(shi)按報價(jia)從低到高確(que)定(ding)入(ru)(ru)(ru)選(xuan)項(xiang)(xiang)目(mu)(mu)，機(ji)(ji)(ji)制電(dian)(dian)(dian)價(jia)原則上(shang)按入(ru)(ru)(ru)選(xuan)項(xiang)(xiang)目(mu)(mu)最高報價(jia)確(que)定(ding)、但不(bu)得高于(yu)(yu)競(jing)價(jia)上(shang)限。競(jing)價(jia)上(shang)限由(you)省級(ji)價(jia)格主(zhu)管部門考慮合理成本收益、綠色價(jia)值(zhi)、電(dian)(dian)(dian)力市(shi)場(chang)(chang)供需形勢、用戶承(cheng)受能力等因(yin)素確(que)定(ding)，初期可考慮成本因(yin)素、避免無序競(jing)爭等設定(ding)競(jing)價(jia)下(xia)限。（3）執(zhi)行(xing)期限，按照同類(lei)項(xiang)(xiang)目(mu)(mu)回(hui)收初始投(tou)(tou)(tou)資的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)平均期限確(que)定(ding)，起(qi)始時(shi)(shi)間(jian)按項(xiang)(xiang)目(mu)(mu)申報的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)投(tou)(tou)(tou)產時(shi)(shi)間(jian)確(que)定(ding)，入(ru)(ru)(ru)選(xuan)時(shi)(shi)已投(tou)(tou)(tou)產的(de)(de)(de)(de)(de)項(xiang)(xiang)目(mu)(mu)按入(ru)(ru)(ru)選(xuan)時(shi)(shi)間(jian)確(que)定(ding)。

新(xin)能(neng)源可持續發展(zhan)價格結(jie)算(suan)機(ji)制的退(tui)出(chu)(chu)規(gui)則。已(yi)納(na)入機(ji)制的新(xin)能(neng)源項目，執行期(qi)限(xian)(xian)內可自愿申(shen)請退(tui)出(chu)(chu)。新(xin)能(neng)源項目執行到期(qi)，或者在期(qi)限(xian)(xian)內自愿退(tui)出(chu)(chu)的，均不再(zai)納(na)入機(ji)制執行范圍(wei)。

研報認為，新(xin)能(neng)(neng)源全面(mian)推進(jin)入(ru)(ru)市電價(jia)方(fang)案出(chu)(chu)臺，建(jian)立差價(jia)結算(suan)機(ji)制(zhi)(zhi)，明確新(xin)老項目劃斷(duan)節(jie)點，全面(mian)推入(ru)(ru)市場交易同時階段性穩定企業合(he)理預(yu)期收益。2025年(nian)上(shang)半年(nian)可能(neng)(neng)會刺激行業搶裝。考慮到國家政策出(chu)(chu)臺，但機(ji)制(zhi)(zhi)電價(jia)、機(ji)制(zhi)(zhi)電量、競價(jia)限制(zhi)(zhi)等細(xi)節(jie)還(huan)需地方(fang)根據自身情況制(zhi)(zhi)定，預(yu)期未來新(xin)能(neng)(neng)源區(qu)域差異化(hua)仍將(jiang)凸顯。

研報全文：

此外《中(zhong)國經濟網》也(ye)刊文(wen)指出，業(ye)內人士稱，新(xin)能源(yuan)上網電(dian)(dian)價(jia)全面由(you)市場(chang)(chang)形成(cheng)(cheng)，存量增量分類實(shi)施支持措(cuo)施，有利于(yu)形成(cheng)(cheng)真實(shi)的市場(chang)(chang)價(jia)格，促進電(dian)(dian)力資源(yuan)高(gao)效(xiao)配置，引(yin)導新(xin)能源(yuan)行業(ye)健康有序發展。各類電(dian)(dian)源(yuan)在(zai)電(dian)(dian)力系統中(zhong)的價(jia)值將(jiang)得(de)到更充分體現，更好引(yin)導新(xin)能源(yuan)與調節電(dian)(dian)源(yuan)、電(dian)(dian)網協(xie)調發展，能夠極大促進全國統一電(dian)(dian)力市場(chang)(chang)建設(she)。